Know whether the thesis is coming true while there's still time to act.
Logyc Sphere models how an acquisition, value-creation plan or capital program moves through a company's value chain, people, cash and capacity. It shows the full range of outcomes before you commit, tracks every assumption after, and shows whose forecasts hold up over time.
- Start with one live deal or decision
- Built from the spreadsheets you already have
- Leadership keeps every call
Expensive decisions rarely fail on the numbers. They fail on what the numbers left out.
One number hides the range.
The business case shows a base case. The real question is how wide the outcomes are, and how likely the bad ones.
Risk gets softened on the way up.
Operations, finance and commercial each see a different danger. By the time it reaches the board, the warning is a footnote.
Nobody adds up the claims.
Each approval spends a share of the same leaders, teams and cash. Each share looks reasonable alone. Together they collide.
No one remembers what was believed.
When results arrive, the assumptions are gone. The company cannot tell bad luck from bad judgment, so it cannot learn.
A decision is only as good as the picture of the business behind it.
Generic financial models see the P&L. Sphere sees how the business actually works: the value chain, what each product is made of, and what your people and partners know. That is what lets it trace a decision's consequences instead of guessing at them.
Every step from raw material to the customer, with its cost, owner and lead time.
A decision about price, a plant or a market moves through the whole chain. Sphere maps it stage by stage, so you see where the cost goes and what a change upstream does downstream.
- Procurement, inbound logistics, manufacturing, packaging, warehousing, distribution and sales, for each product
- Cost per unit and lead time for every step, with its owner and the site or supplier behind it
- Inventory at each stage, so you know how much is tied up and where it runs short
One system from the first model to the final result.
Five things Sphere does for every consequential decision, each backed by working modules in the platform.
See every consequence, not just one number.
Most business cases show one scenario. Sphere connects the decision to how your business actually works, so you see what it moves and how wide the outcomes really are.
- Change any input and see, in seconds, everything it moves: margin, cash, capacity and value.
- Run thousands of combinations of the uncertain inputs: the likely range and the chance of a loss.
- Build the model from the spreadsheets and exports you already have. No data lake required.
Built for the people who own the bet.
Know the plan is slipping in weeks, not at the next board meeting.
- The investment thesis and value-creation plan as tracked commitments, with owners
- Warning signals when an assumption behind the plan starts to fail
- Which deal teams and management teams forecast best, over time
Every deal case, checked against what happened.
- Synergies tracked with owner, amount and date
- What the integration asks of operations, cash and capacity, before it lands
- Hindsight reviews of past deals: what held, what didn't, and why
A range you can defend, and a team you can trust.
- Outcome ranges and the chance of a loss, not a single forecast
- One live model to report from, to your board or your sponsor
- Forecast accuracy by assumption and by owner
Govern, and remember why.
- Questions aimed at where a recommendation is most exposed
- Follow-up on approved decisions against what was promised
- A decision record that outlasts any one executive, for family and permanent owners
Find out whose judgment holds up.
Every forecast and assumption is dated and kept. When results arrive, Sphere compares them with what each person expected. Over time you see who reads reality best, and you can tell bad luck from bad judgment.
Forecasts on the record
Who expected what, how confidently, and when. Recorded at the time, not reconstructed from memory.
Hindsight that is fair
ThinkBack shows the business exactly as it stood on the day of the decision, so each call is judged on what was knowable then.
A track record, not a leaderboard
Accuracy builds up by person and team across many decisions. It is for learning and for knowing whose read to weigh, never for rating someone on one call.
Your tools report on the business. Sphere tests the decision.
Logyc works alongside your ERP, BI and planning tools. It doesn’t replace them. It covers the gap between them: the decision itself.
Start with one bet. Expand when it proves itself.
No big-bang rollout and no perfect data. Each start is a bounded first engagement, built from the spreadsheets you already have, ending in a review you can show your partners or board.
Thesis Tracker
Ninety days on one portfolio company. We load the investment thesis and value-creation plan, model the business, set warning signals, and review it with your operating partner each month.
Deal Hindsight
One recently closed deal. Sphere tracks its case against results, and hindsight reviews of two or three past deals show what to carry into the next one.
One live decision
An acquisition, a capital program or a target given to investors. We model it from your spreadsheets, record the reasoning, and set owners and signals for what matters.
Built for review, not blind reliance.
Leadership decides
Sphere supports the analysis. The decision, approval and implementation stay with you.
Every input has a source
Data, management estimates and modeled ranges are kept apart, and your experts review what matters.
Records that can't be rewritten
What leadership expected is frozen at approval in a hash-chained, tamper-evident record.
Access you control
Role-based permissions, two-factor sign-in, and data boundaries set by your organization.
What leaders ask first.
Do we need clean, integrated data first?
No. Sphere starts from the spreadsheets, exports and models you already use, plus what your managers know. Your experts review the material inputs, and the model grows decision by decision rather than all at once.
Does it replace our ERP, BI or planning tools?
No. Those systems record and report on the business. Sphere sits beside them and focuses on the decision: its consequences before approval and its delivery after.
We're a private equity firm. How does Sphere work across our portfolio?
Each portfolio company gets its own Sphere, with its data kept separate from every other company's. Your operating partners are given access to the companies they oversee, and every company's thesis, plan and warning signals are tracked the same way, so they can be read side by side.
How is judgment scored, and is it fair to people?
Forecasts are scored against outcomes across many decisions, never on a single call, and ThinkBack judges each decision on what was knowable at the time. The record is for learning and for knowing whose read to weigh. Your organization decides who can see it.
Is AI making the decisions?
No. Sphere models consequences and shows the reasoning behind every figure. Leadership makes and owns the decision.
Who can see our decisions?
Only the people you authorize. Access is role-based, sign-in supports two-factor authentication, and each organization defines its own data boundaries.
What does a first engagement involve?
One live decision, one accountable executive and a defined scope. You get a scenario and downside analysis, the decision record, monitoring conditions with owners, and a first Decision Memory entry. Then you decide whether to go further.
Bring one thesis, deal or decision you’re weighing now.
A value-creation plan, an acquisition, a capital program or a target given to investors. In a walkthrough we’ll show how Sphere would model it, what it would challenge, and what it would watch after you commit.